Here's what we found:
- Paul Jones is in a statistical tie –– 44% to 45% –– in a two-way race against the Democratic incumbent.
- Of those who remain undecided, half are Republicans.
- The bottom line: Paul can win.
The survey was conducted October 6-9, 2018 among 631 likely voters in HD-59, with a margin of error of +/- 3.9%.